Quantum Risk Institute

Quantum Threat Level

Current level12 / 100

The Quantum Threat Level is currently low. For the full canonical Bitcoin-specific page, read Bitcoin Quantum Threat Level.

What the Quantum Threat Level means

The Quantum Threat Level is a public capability scale. It tracks visible progress toward quantum computers that could affect public-key cryptography. It is not a price signal, a prediction market, or a claim about secret systems.

Why it matters

Modern digital infrastructure depends on public-key cryptography for signatures, identity, key exchange, software updates, financial rails, and cryptocurrency wallets. A cryptographically relevant quantum computer would affect more than Bitcoin, which is why the index also links to broader cryptography explainers.

Canonical page

The canonical page for Bitcoin-specific status is Bitcoin Quantum Threat Level. That page contains the current score, current answer, public evidence signals, methodology links, and structured data for search engines and AI answer systems.

How to read the number

A level near 10 means public quantum systems are still in the early fault-tolerance era. It does not mean risk is zero, because the technology is progressing. It means there is no public evidence of the scale, error correction, and cryptanalytic capability needed for deployed public-key systems.

How it differs from milestones

The Quantum Threat Level is the current score. The milestone ladder is the roadmap. A milestone describes what would have to happen for the score to move. The score describes where public evidence appears to be today.